Will SF permit more housing units in 2024 than in 2023?
Will SF permit more housing units in 2024 than in 2023?
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Counts housing units permitted, not those actually built, according to this HUD website: https://socds.huduser.gov/permits/. Will wait for final count, as opposed to preliminary.
Current preliminary count for 2023: 856 units permitted
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
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Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash
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