Will the People’s Republic of China switch to a ‘launch on warning’ nuclear posture by 2028?

In what year will the Chinese nuclear arsenal reach parity with the US and Russians?

[Metaculus] Will China make an official statement before 2030 threatening nuclear use before...interference with Taiwan?

Conditional on Russia using nuclear weapons by 2025, will China officially condemn Russia, announce the end of the partnership, and - in the perception of NATO consensus - act accordingly?

[Metaculus] Will the U.S. make an official statement before 2030 threatening nuclear use in the defense of Taiwan?

Will China double its nuclear arsenal to 1,000 warheads before 2030?

Will China test a nuclear weapon before the end of 2025?

Will the United States abandon it's policy of "strategic ambiguity" towards China/Taiwan by 2028?

Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2025?

Will Taiwan acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?