Will Apple buy Intel before EOY2025?
Will Apple buy Intel before EOY2025?
Basic
9
Ṁ856
2026
5%
chance

Background

Apple and Intel have a long history of collaboration, with Intel previously supplying processors for Mac computers before Apple's transition to its own silicon. In 2019, Apple acquired Intel's smartphone modem business for $1 billion, which included 2,200 employees and intellectual property related to wireless technology.

Market Context

Intel's current market capitalization makes it a significant potential acquisition target. As of 2023, Intel remains one of the world's largest semiconductor companies, with extensive manufacturing capabilities, patents, and technological expertise.

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve as YES if:

  • Apple announces a definitive agreement to acquire Intel Corporation in its entirety

  • The announcement occurs before December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET

  • The acquisition terms are publicly disclosed and approved by both companies' boards

This market will resolve as NO if:

  • No acquisition announcement is made by the deadline

  • Any announced deal falls through or is terminated before the resolution date

  • Apple only acquires a portion or division of Intel

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