Will Netflix’s live action adaptation of One Piece be produced to completion? (12 seasons)
Will Netflix’s live action adaptation of One Piece be produced to completion? (12 seasons)
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Netflix’s live action has been a huge hit and has already confirmed a season 2. However, the producers have ambitions of making 12 seasons which could be problematic for the show. Netflix has a history of canceling shows early even when they have been successful. Many people predict that One Piece will be canceled before the show is completed. Some even predict that it won’t make it past season 4. What do you think?
Will resolve YES if the show is produced to completion. (Currently planned for 12 seasons)
Will resolve NO if the show is cancelled.
I will allow myself to bet on this market as the outcome is not something I can manipulate.
I have set the expiration date to 20 years from today’s date but this market will more than likely resolve before then.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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