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Will Trump's 2nd term be better than his first term (according to historians - tend to be liberal)?
Will Trump's 2nd term be better than his first term (according to historians - tend to be liberal)?
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Historians near unanimously rated 2017-2021 Trump among the bottom 10% of presidents.
See https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Historical_rankings_of_presidents_of_the_United_States
Will he rank higher after his 2nd term?
To be ranked higher he should be out of the bottom tier which is currently led by Millard Fillmore (38th of 45) and be at the very least comparable to Herbert Hoover (37th of 45).
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
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