Rules:
This market has exponentially increasing difficulty for both sides. Where n is the number of days this market has been open:
Whales must hold at least 2^n YES shares, where n is the number of days the market has been open. For example, on day 10, that would be 2^10 = 1024 YES shares. On day 20, it would be 2^20 = 1,048,576 YES shares.
Minnows must have at least 2^(n/3) NO holders, rounded down. For example, on day 10, that would be 2^(10/3) = 10 NO holders. On day 20, it would be 2^(20/3) = 101 NO holders
If the Minnows fail first, this market resolves YES. If the Whales fail first, this market resolves NO. If both fail on the same day, this market resolves 50%.
Fine Print:
Bot and API trades (and traders) do not count.
I'll evaluate the holdings at 5PM PST every day.
Market close is indefinitely extended until one side fails
Alts are not allowed. I'll defer to moderators if there's a dispute
1,000
3.00🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ93 | |
| 2 | Ṁ57 | |
| 3 | Ṁ37 |
What is this?
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and can't be cashed out. to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.1.00Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Are our predictions accurate?
How do I win cash prizes?
and can't be cashed out. to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.1.00