If Donald Trump is re-elected, how many times will he be impeached during his second term?
If Donald Trump is re-elected, how many times will he be impeached during his second term?
Basic
16
Ṁ4712029
31%
0
33%
1
23%
2
7%
3
3%
4
3%
5+
Resolves to N/A if Trump is not re-elected or otherwise fails to start a second term, otherwise resolves either upon completing his second term or leaving office for any reason before then.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
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Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash
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