The Javan Rhinoceros is currently listed as Critically Endangered on the IUCN Red List of Threatened Species, based on its last assessment in May 2019. This set of markets predicts which conservation statuses the species will reach before the year 2100.
The possible outcomes include all seven official IUCN categories, as well as two additional subcategories for Critically Endangered species. You can find a brief explanation of the categories in the comments.
Market resolution rules:
Each conservation status has its own independent market.
A market resolves YES if and when the Javan Rhinoceros is listed in that category in a future assessment.
A market resolves NO if the Javan Rhinoceros has not been listed in that category by the year 2100.
When the market for one of the categories resolves YES, a new one for the same category will be created to ensure open markets for all categories for the next assessment.
For more info, see
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3.00Here is a brief explanation of the relevant IUCN categories:
Least Concern: The species is widespread and abundant, facing no immediate threats to survival.
Near Threatened: The species is close to qualifying for a threatened category but is not currently at risk.
Vulnerable: The species is at high risk of extinction in the medium-term future.
Endangered: The species is at very high risk of extinction in the near future.
Critically Endangered: The species faces an extremely high risk of extinction in the immediate future.
Critically Endangered (Possibly Extinct in the Wild): The species likely survives only in captivity or cultivation.
Critically Endangered (Possibly Extinct): The species is suspected to be extinct but has not yet been confirmed.
Extinct in the Wild: The species only survives in captivity, cultivation, or outside its natural range.
Extinct: There is no reasonable doubt that the last individual of the species has died.
What is this?
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and can't be cashed out. to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.1.00Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Are our predictions accurate?
How do I win cash prizes?
and can't be cashed out. to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.1.00