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Will TSLA reach $ 500 in 2025
Basic
7
Ṁ1852026
56%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolution Criteria
Market resolves YES if TSLA stock reaches or exceeds $500.00 at any point during 2025 (January 1, 2025 - December 31, 2025) based on official NYSE trading data
Price must be reached during regular trading hours (9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET)
Pre-market and after-hours trading prices do not count
In the event of a stock split, the target price will be adjusted proportionally
If TSLA is delisted or acquired before or during 2025, the market resolves NO
Market resolves NO if the stock does not reach $500 during 2025
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana
and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.Related questions
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