Will Trump declare Martial Law in the US before 2029 (given a 2025 presidency)?
Will Trump declare Martial Law in the US before 2029 (given a 2025 presidency)?
Basic
23
Ṁ8392029
64%
chance
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1W
1M
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Martial Law following definitions laid out here.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Martial_law_in_the_United_States?wprov=sfla1
If Trump is not elected president for the 2025-2029 term, this question resolves in N/A.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
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