>10% of companies (>12 months old) from AIM's Founding to Give get into YC before EOY 2030?
Basic
1
Ṁ60
2031
28%
chance

Website for the program here.
EA Forum post announcement of the program here.
32 page report on the program here.

The first program is expected to run in January-March 2025.

Companies that [are part of FtG batches that graduated at least 12 months before] [last announcement of YC batches of 2030] will count for this question.

Companies that turn down invitation to YC counts as "get into", in case there's reasonable proof that this happened.

I will accept major pivots, name changes, et.c. for a YES resolution, but entirely new companies from one founder wouldn't count.

I will not trade in this market, as resolution could get tricky.

#Business
#Effective Altruism
#Companies
#Startups
#Founding to Give
#Charity Entrepreneurship
Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00


What is this?

What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana Ṁ and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash S to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
S1.00
→ $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.

Related questions

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules