Will any MTG tournament have a prize of at least $200,000 to the winner before 2030?
Will any MTG tournament have a prize of at least $200,000 to the winner before 2030?
Basic
3
Ṁ2202030
30%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Just needs to be the officially announed prize; if the top 8 decides to split it so the winner gets less, that won't prevent the market from resolving to YES.
If this has already happened prior to market creation, that's not included. (Though I'd be curious to know what tournament it was.)
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana
and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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