Who will be the next Editor in Chief of The New Yorker?
Who will be the next Editor in Chief of The New Yorker?
Basic
1
Ṁ152029
13%
Radhika Jones
13%
Emily Greenhouse
13%
Patrick Radden Keefe
11%
Ezra Klein
13%
Daniel Zalewski
13%
Nick Thompson
21%
Inspired by recent reporting that David Remnick will step down as EIC of The New Yorker as early as next year (see https://www.semafor.com/article/04/28/2024/the-new-yorkers-succession-race-is-kicking-off)
I've included the candidates listed in that article I think are top candidates, feel free to add your own.
Resolves when an official announcement is made.
This market is a bit of an experiment -- there's not too many media markets with long time lines, and I don't really know how I would personally assess this as a bettor. I might also make one for When will David Remnick leave? Happy for suggestions.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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