Will the value of any of the cards printed in the Magic: 30th Anniversary set exceed the price of an MSRP sealed booster box by the end of 2027?
Will the value of any of the cards printed in the Magic: 30th Anniversary set exceed the price of an MSRP sealed booster box by the end of 2027?
Plus
10
Ṁ2322028
74%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market will resolve yes if the TCG mid price of any card printed in the 30th Anniversary edition exceeds 999USD at any point between May 28, 2023 and December 31, 2027. I have given 6 months to allow buyers to receive their product and secondary market sales to begin. (Start date may be extended if after 4 months there are no reports of people receiving product or tracking codes.)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
Will I regret buying two unopened Magic the Gathering "The Dark" booster packs for $150 a year from now?
18% chance
Will any of my Magic cards be stolen before the end of 2025?
14% chance
Will a Magic the Gathering card sell for $5 Million USD or more before the end of 2027?
26% chance
Will any Magic card sell for at least $5 million before 2030?
28% chance
At the end of 2025 will the most used card in Standard Magic the Gathering decks be used in 50% or more of decks?
20% chance
At the end of 2025 will the most used card in Standard Magic the Gathering decks be used in 45% or more of decks?
20% chance
Will Magic: The Gathering still be being activly developed and printed in paper by the end of 2025?
99% chance
In 2025, will a Magic: The Gathering card be banned within 2 weeks of becoming legal in a format?
19% chance
Will there be a Magic the Gathering crossover with Lego (card or lego set) by the end of 2025?
23% chance
Will there be a Magic the Gathering card that is a crossover with Lego by the end of 2025?
13% chance