Will "Shutting Down the Lightcone Offices" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
Plus
4
Ṁ255an hour ago
26%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2023 Review resolves in February 2025.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post Shutting Down the Lightcone Offices is one of the top fifty posts of the 2023 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will "OpenAI #10: Reflections" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
29% chance
Will "ASIs will not leave just a little sunlight fo..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
15% chance
Will "Introducing Open Asteroid Impact" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
15% chance
Will "(The) Lightcone is nothing without its people..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
10% chance
Will "Social Dark Matter" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
65% chance
Will "A Shutdown Problem Proposal" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
11% chance
Will "Shallow review of live agendas in alignment &..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
61% chance
Will "What Goes Without Saying" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
15% chance
Will "Against LLM Reductionism" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2023 Annual Review?
20% chance
Will "Lsusr's Rationality Dojo" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
17% chance