Will "Which things were you surprised to learn are ..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
Basic
3
Ṁ182026
12%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts. Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2024 Review resolves in February 2026.
This market will resolve to 100% if the post Which things were you surprised to learn are not metaphors? is one of the top fifty posts of the 2024 Review, and 0% otherwise. The market was initialized to 14%.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will "Examples of Highly Counterfactual Discoveries?" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "2023 Survey Results" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
2% chance
Will "Explore More: A Bag of Tricks to Keep Your Li..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
17% chance
Will "What Goes Without Saying" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
15% chance
Will "What happens if you present 500 people with a..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
12% chance
Will "You don't know how bad most things are nor pr..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
18% chance
Will "things that confuse me about the current AI m..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
13% chance
Will "Truthseeking is the ground in which other pri..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
70% chance
Will "Fields that I reference when thinking about A..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
11% chance
Will "How I Learned To Stop Trusting Prediction Mar..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2024 Annual Review?
9% chance