Will Andreessen Horowitz still be active in 2025?

Basic

Ṁ694

Dec 31

89%

chance

ALL

My theory is they pivot to crypto or something else. I'm trying to find an objective metric of "Still an active VC fund", going with "make any investments into new companies". Please ask clarification questions, and/or point to other markets who have defined this well! I won't bet.

Resolution criteria:

Public and confirmed by e.g. CrunchBase
New companies they hadn't had money in before
During the year 2025
C-Corp and non-US equivalent. Other assets including DAO don't count

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#Crypto

#Venture Capital

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What is this?

What is Manifold?

Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.

Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.

Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.

Are our predictions accurate?

Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.

How do I win cash prizes?

Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.

All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.

Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.

Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00
→ $1.00, minus a 5% fee.

Learn more.

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