In 2025, will a Magic: The Gathering card be banned within 4 weeks of becoming legal in a format?
In 2025, will a Magic: The Gathering card be banned within 4 weeks of becoming legal in a format?
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The ban must be announced within 28 days of the the card becoming legal in the format in paper OR the card becoming legal in the format online (i.e. ignoring any pre-release events).
Pre-bans don't count, the card has to spend some time being playable in the format before it's banned.
Alchemy-style nerfs are not bans.
The card must be banned from one of these formats: Standard, Alchemy, Explorer/Pioneer, Historic, Timeless, Modern, Legacy, Vintage, Pauper, Commander, Brawl, Standard Brawl. Bans that hit a subset of one of these formats (such as a card only being banned in Best of 1 Arena Standard) still count.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
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