Will Georgia be bluer than Pennsylvania in 2028?
Will Georgia be bluer than Pennsylvania in 2028?
Basic
4
Ṁ16
2028
47%
chance

In 2028, will the Democratic margin in the presidential election be larger in Georgia than Pennsylvania? The Democratic margin is defined as the percentage of the vote won by the Democrat minus that won by the Republican. (It's negative when the Democrat loses).

In 2024 (as of current counts), the Democratic margin in PA was -1.7%, and in GA it was -2.2%, so PA was 0.5% bluer. Note that margins are based on percentage of the total vote share, not two-party vote share.

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