Which of these series will have games on Nintendo Switch 2 announced before 2026?
Which of these series will have games on Nintendo Switch 2 announced before 2026?
➕
Plus
7
Ṁ576
2026
88%
Super Mario
87%
The Legend of Zelda
60%
Halo
50%
Microsoft Flight Simulator
50%
Donkey Kong
50%
Grand Theft Auto
45%
Mario Golf
45%
Animal Crossing
45%
The Sims (excluding MySims)
44%
Super Smash Bros.
30%
WarioWare
30%
Rhythm Heaven

Main market: https://manifold.markets/Robincvgr/which-of-these-series-will-ever-hav

For each series, the respective market will resolve YES if:

  • A new game in the series is announced specifically for Nintendo Switch 2.

    • A game being announced for Nintendo Switch and the Switch 2 being backwards compatible is NOT sufficient.

    • A game with specific versions for multiple consoles (like how Twilight Princess released for both GameCube and Wii, or third-party multiplatform games) IS sufficient.

  • A port or remaster of an existing game in the series is announced for Nintendo Switch 2.

    • Emulations (such as Atari 50 or the Nintendo Switch Online service) are NOT sufficient.

Note that, unlike the main market, markets resolve when games are announced, not released.

All other markets resolve NO at market close.

Whether a given game is part of a given series will be determined by how it is described by a consensus of reporting. If a market resolution seems likely to be controversial, I may conduct a Manifold poll to assist in determing the resolution.

  • Update 2025-04-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - If there are separate builds for Switch 1 and Switch 2 (like Twilight Princess on GC and Wii), that is sufficient.

    • If there is extra functionality on Switch 2 that most backward-compatible games don't get (like DSi-enhanced software on DS games), that is sufficient.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00

What is this?

What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana Ṁ and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash S to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
S1.00
→ $1.00
, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.
© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules