[Humanoid Bots] Will the USA (or China) be the key player?
[Humanoid Bots] Will the USA (or China) be the key player?
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15
Ṁ2172031
62%
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YES=the USA
NO=China
This market allows you to bet on what country will lead in the race of Smart Robots.
More specifically, whether American or Chinese companies will SELL more smart autonomous humanoid robots in 2030.
Bet on YES if you think that American companies will sell more bots in 2030
Bet on NO if you think Chinese companies will sell more.
FYI, the picture below shows the major companies and their bots capabilities in February 2024. Source
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana
and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.Related questions
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