Did Gemini 1.5 Pro achieve long-context reasoning through retrieval? | Manifold

Did Gemini 1.5 Pro achieve long-context reasoning through retrieval?

Did Gemini 1.5 Pro achieve long-context reasoning through retrieval?

Basic

1

Ṁ44

Jan 1

50%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

There is no way an attention network is that good.

1 hour video understanding
Needle in a Haystack 99% accuracy
Learning a language that no one speaks by reading a grammar book "in context"

Resolves YES if we later found out that the long context ability was enhanced by agents/retrieval/search/etc., i.e. it was not achieved merely by extending attention mechanism.

Resolves NA if I can't find out by EOY 2024

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

Get

1,000

and

3.00

Related questions

Will GPT-5 have function-calling ability to some o1-like reasoning model, upon release?

Will Gemini outperform GPT-4 at mathematical theorem-proving?

Will Gemini exceed the performance of GPT-4 on the 2022 AMC 10 and AMC 12 exams?

Will Google Gemini be able to answer the simple geometry/number theory question in the description?

Will Gemini 1.5 Pro seem to be as good as Gemini 1.0 Ultra for common use cases? [Poll]

Will Google Gemini do as well as GPT-4 on Sparks of AGI tasks?

What will be true of Gemini 2?

Related questions

Will GPT-5 have function-calling ability to some o1-like reasoning model, upon release?

Will Gemini 1.5 Pro seem to be as good as Gemini 1.0 Ultra for common use cases? [Poll]

Will Gemini outperform GPT-4 at mathematical theorem-proving?

Will Google Gemini do as well as GPT-4 on Sparks of AGI tasks?

Will Gemini exceed the performance of GPT-4 on the 2022 AMC 10 and AMC 12 exams?

What will be true of Gemini 2?

Will Google Gemini be able to answer the simple geometry/number theory question in the description?

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules