If Tetra visits a city in Japan outside of the Tokyo and Keihanshin metropolitan areas, which ones?
If Tetra visits a city in Japan outside of the Tokyo and Keihanshin metropolitan areas, which ones?
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Ṁ912resolved Feb 4
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YESNagoya
Resolved
NOSapporo
Resolved
NOKagoshima
Resolves N/A if I don't visit a city outside of the Tokyo and Keihanshin metropolitan areas, and YES on all cities I do visit and NO on all cities I don't.
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What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
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Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
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