Will a MOAB, FOAB, or greater yield bomb be detonated, with at least one casualty, during 2024?
Will a MOAB, FOAB, or greater yield bomb be detonated, with at least one casualty, during 2024?
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resolved Feb 4
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NO

Includes any bomb type e.g. conventional, nuclear etc.

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As far as I can tell after searching online, the closest we got was Russian military bloggers claiming some footage showed Russia detonating a FOAB, but the Ukrainian military and other experts debunking it, and the Russian government not commenting

https://www.newsweek.com/russia-non-nuclear-bomb-ukraine-video-1962583

Ukrainian news agency InsiderUA posted the video to its Telegram channel, citing Russian military bloggers who said that the bomb was the ODAB-9000, a three-ton glide bomb sometimes referred to as "the father of all bombs."

[…]

Russian "milbloggers" have continued to share the footage and reiterate claims that the bomb was the ODAB-9000, which one called "the most powerful non-nuclear munition in the world."

"A decision was made to use something awesome in Volchansk: The ODAB-9000 vacuum bomb. The first use during the entire war," another prominent pro-Kremlin channel wrote alongside the video.

[…]

The Telegram channel for the operational and tactical unit (OTU) of Kharkiv responded to the claims.

"The information about the alleged use of the ODAB-9000 aerial bomb by the Russian occupation forces in Vovchansk is not true," it said before referencing a statement given by Kharkiv OTU spokesperson Vitaliy Sarantsev.

"For the use of this munition, a suitable carrier is required, which theoretically could be, for example, a Tu-160 strategic bomber, but the movement of such aircraft was not recorded," Sarantsev was quoted as saying. "A smaller weight and power munition was used, the explosion of which was used by propagandists to create a 'spectacular' picture."

[…]

According to Dr. Sidharth Kaushal, Sea Power Research Fellow at the Royal United Services Institute, the footage made it unclear whether the bomb was, in fact, an ODAB-9000 thermobaric weapon or a FAB-9000 aerial bomb, as claimed by X account Crash Report.

https://www.armyrecognition.com/focus-analysis-conflicts/army/conflicts-in-the-world/ukraine-russia-conflict/has-russia-deployed-odab-9000-father-of-all-bombs-in-ukraine

On October 2, 2024, a video posted on Telegram channels and shared on X by @Clash Report sparked speculation regarding a possible deployment by the Russian military of the ODAB-9000 bomb, also known as the "Father of All Bombs," in Ukraine, specifically during an attack on the city of Volchansk in the Kharkiv region. This bomb is known for being the most powerful non-nuclear weapon in Russia's arsenal, capable of delivering a destructive force equivalent to 44,000 kilograms of TNT. However, the Ukrainian Armed Forces have strongly denied these claims.

[…]

Ukrainian officials and military sources quickly responded to these allegations. Colonel Vitalii Sarantsev, spokesperson for the Kharkiv Operational and Tactical Group, denied the use of the ODAB-9000 during the Volchansk attack. He emphasized that no movements of strategic bombers, such as the Tu-160, which are required to transport and drop such a large bomb, had been detected during the time of the attack.

The denial from the Ukrainian Armed Forces suggests that a smaller weapon might have been used in this attack rather than the ODAB-9000. According to Sarantsev, the explosion might have been caused by another type of munition, possibly a less powerful thermobaric bomb like the ODAB-1500 or the FAB-3000 high-explosive aviation bomb. Although these alternatives are also destructive, they do not match the power of the ODAB-9000.

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