
Will software engineer's real salaries be lower in 2026 than they were in 2022, per Levels.fyi? (Inflation adjusted!)
Will software engineer's real salaries be lower in 2026 than they were in 2022, per Levels.fyi? (Inflation adjusted!)
Plus
13
Ṁ3740Dec 31
41%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Similar to this market: Will Levels.fyi report that software engineer's salaries are lower in 2026 than they were in 2022? | Manifold Markets
But inflation adjusted.
And: Will software engineer's real salaries be lower in 2025 than they were in 2022, per Levels.fyi? (Inflation adjusted!) | Manifold Markets But one year later to make it more comparable to the original.
According to Levels.fyi's 2022 end of year pay report, real salaries for all tech jobs have been decreasing steadily from 2021 through the end of 2022. Will this trend buckle by 2026 or hold steady?
May resolve N/A if they do not publish such a report.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana
and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana
and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.Related questions
Will software engineer's real salaries be lower in 2025 than they were in 2022, per Levels.fyi? (Inflation adjusted!)
56% chance
Will the software engineer's salaries/ per capita GDP ratio be lower in 2026 than in 2022, per Levels.fyi?
43% chance
Will Levels.fyi report that software engineer's salaries are lower in 2026 than they were in 2022?
16% chance
Will software engineers' inflation-adjusted salaries reach their 2021 levels by 2030?
72% chance
When will software engineers' inflation-adjusted salaries finally re-reach their 2021 levels?
Will there be a decline in software engineer salaries attributed to AI by the end of 2025?
31% chance
Will there be a decline in software engineer salaries attributed to AI by the end of 2027?
29% chance
Will there be a decline in software engineer salaries attributed to AI by the end of 2029?
47% chance
Will real 75th percentile software engineer comp be higher than today in 2025 in the US
87% chance
Will the bureau of labor say computer programmers' (inflation-adjusted) salaries decreased between 2023 and 2030?
38% chance