Will martial law be declared in Taiwan before 2026?
Plus
6
Ṁ12252026
18%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_South_Korean_martial_law#Aftermath
"In Taiwan, the Democratic Progressive Party Legislative Caucus posted an article on Threads, claiming that the declaration of martial law was a legitimate effort to protect free constitutional democracy in South Korea and criticizing Taiwanese opposition parties for obstructing national security proposals, allegedly "unconstitutionally expand[ing]" their powers, and reducing the defense budget.[128][129] While the post was deleted shortly afterwards, it sparked criticism from major opposition parties, including the Kuomintang and the Taiwan People's Party, who interpreted the post as a threat to take similar measures in Taiwan.[128][130]"
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Taiwan de facto be controlled by China before 2026 according to Western media?
10% chance
Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2026?
24% chance
Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2028?
36% chance
Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2027?
37% chance
Will China launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2026?
19% chance
Will China begin an invasion of Taiwan by 2028?
23% chance
Will China militarily seize any of Taiwan's outlying islands (Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, Penghu) before the end of 2025?
14% chance
If Trump wins, will China attack Taiwan before the end of 2026?
20% chance
Will China attempt to invade Taiwan by EOY 2025/beginning of year 2026?
20% chance
Will the US evacuate its citizens from Taiwan before Dec 2027?
23% chance