Will the US unemployment rate in November 2025 be below the rate in November 2024?
Basic
2
𝕊52026
52%
chance
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1W
1M
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From the ACX 2025 Prediction Contest:
Will resolve according to the Metaculus resolution:
This question will resolve as Yes if the monthly U-3 unemployment figure, in percent, seasonally adjusted, for November 2025 is lower than 4.2%. Resolution will be determined according to the first estimate published for November 2025 by the BLS, typically found here.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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