Will the population of San Francisco reach 950,000 before 2030?
Will the population of San Francisco reach 950,000 before 2030?
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What will the population of San Francisco be in 2030?
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San Francisco’s projected population in 2030 is estimated to reach around 913,000, reflecting moderate growth compared to previous decades. This growth rate is influenced by demographic shifts, with expected increases in the older population (age 50+) and younger residents (under age 20), while the number of people aged 20-34 may slightly decline. The city’s demographic composition is also anticipated to change, with growth in the Asian and multiracial populations, while the number of Black residents is expected to decrease.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
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Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash
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