Will there be two SpaceX Starship–SuperHeavy launches within a single 30 day period in 2024?

Plus

Ṁ10k

resolved Jan 2

Resolved

ALL

"Launch" is defined as the vehicle lifting off the pad, however slightly, under thrust from its engines.

Only launches planned to be orbital or near-orbital (intended to come within ~5% of orbital velocity) count.

"Within a single 30 day period" means that the time in between launches is not greater than 30 ordinary 24-hour days, i.e. 2,592,000 seconds.

Both launches must occur in 2024, local time at their respective launch sites.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#Space

#Rockets

#SpaceX

Get

1,000

and

3.00

🏅 Top traders

#	Name	Total profit
1		Ṁ194
2		Ṁ159
3		Ṁ90
4		Ṁ66
5		Ṁ43

Comments

26 Holders

56 Trades

What is this?

What is Manifold?

Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.

Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.

Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.

Are our predictions accurate?

Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.

In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.

How do I win cash prizes?

Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.

All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.

Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.

Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00
→ $1.00, minus a 5% fee.

Learn more.

What is this?

What is Manifold?

Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.

Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.

Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.

Are our predictions accurate?

Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.

How do I win cash prizes?

Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.

All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.

Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.

Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00
→ $1.00, minus a 5% fee.

Learn more.

🏅 Top traders

What is this?

Related questions

What is this?

Related questions