Will the breakthrough(s) mentioned in the OpenAI board letter go to history as a pivotal step on the path to AGI?
Basic
6
Ṁ1012035
44%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will resolve to YES if the orthodox view among scholars is that the breakthrough(s) referred to in the letter was a necessary component on the path AGI. Will resolve to NO otherwise.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will OpenAI claim that it has achieved AGI in 2025?
27% chance
Will OpenAI hint at [read description] or claim to have AGI by 2025 end?
28% chance
Will OpenAI be in the lead in the AGI race end of 2026?
54% chance
when will OpenAI have announced they have achieved AGI?
Will OpenAI hint at or claim to have AGI by 2025 end?
32% chance
Will OpenAI hint at or claim to have AGI by Jan 1, 2030? (1000M Subsidy)
82% chance
Did the board of OpenAI recieve a letter about the Q* AI 'breakthrough'?
58% chance
Will the first AGI build on some novel aspect of the Q* 'breakthrough' that reportedly contributed to the Altman firing?
41% chance
Will AI create the first AGI?
39% chance
Will an AI be solely responsible for an AI breakthrough by the end of 2030?
76% chance