Will there be any children born in 2025 in the US, that do not receive the option of birthright citizenship?
Will there be any children born in 2025 in the US, that do not receive the option of birthright citizenship?
Basic
4
Ṁ93
2026
24%
chance

Background On January 20, 2025, President Trump issued an executive order affecting birthright citizenship in the United States. The order states that children born to parents who are either unlawfully present or on temporary visas (such as H-1B, F-1, L-1) will not automatically receive U.S. citizenship if neither parent is a U.S. citizen or lawful permanent resident. This policy takes effect on February 19, 2025.

Resolution Criteria This market will resolve YES if at least one child is born in the United States during 2025 and is officially denied automatic citizenship under the executive order. The market will resolve NO if either:

  1. The executive order is blocked, overturned, or otherwise does not take effect

  2. No children are born in 2025 who are denied automatic citizenship under the order

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