Do you wish that Manifold would have consulted the community more before pushing the upcoming changes?
Do you wish that Manifold would have consulted the community more before pushing the upcoming changes?
31
Never closes
Yes
No
See results
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Sort by:
this is how they consult the community - pushing to production so everyone can see the changes! lol
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana
and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana
and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.Related questions
Will Mani be seen as a mistake by the Manifold community at the end of 2025?
60% chance
6 months after the Great Manifold Pivot, will Manifold leadership consider it to have been a good idea?
89% chance
Will Manifold raise a community round in 2025?
41% chance
Will Manifold users stop requesting site changes via market creation by 2026?
7% chance
Will Manifold give prominent community members equity in Manifold by the end of 2025?
5% chance
Who should run Manifold?
POLL
Do you think your time is well-spent on Manifold?
POLL
Are you on Manifold's Discord?
POLL
How can Manifold improve?
Ṁ3,446 bounty