Will there be an Chinese/Korean/Japanese/Taiwanese American President before 2060? | Manifold

Will there be an Chinese/Korean/Japanese/Taiwanese American President before 2060?

Plus

23

Ṁ1311

2060

64%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

If deciding whether the President is considered Chinese/Korean/Japanese/Taiwanese American is controversial, I will conduct a poll and resort to poll result

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#🇺🇸 US Politics

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I mean even if you consider them 5% of the population, 7 more elections,

.95^7 = 70% chance no Asian.

It's mispriced but who wants to wait for 2060

@Riley12 have you heard of the idea of underrepresentation? Chinese Americans are underrepresented in the US political sphere, that’s a well known fact

@AmmonLam Yea so you’re saying this should be like 20% at the most then…

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