Will the US have to build Trump a personal prison like Pablo Escobar if he is convicted?
Will the US have to build Trump a personal prison like Pablo Escobar if he is convicted?
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Seriously, I see no reasonable way to get convicted for the charges he faces in any of the cases, but particularly the one in Georgia, that he can avoid some sort of detention. If they let him stay at Mar-a-lago or Trump Tower it could be dangerous and allow him to operate no differently than if he were free. This resolves YES if a special facility must be procured or built to house Trump during his imprisonment. Resolves NO if he is allowed house arrest in one of his own properties or is incarcerated in a federal or state facility that is already used to house inmates.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
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Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash
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