Will Travis Kelce and Taylor Swift get engaged by the end of 2024?
Will Travis Kelce and Taylor Swift get engaged by the end of 2024?
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Plus
233
Ṁ53k
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO

Will Travis put a ring on it?

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1mo

Continuation of this market for 2025:

Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce engaged in 2025?48%

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bought Ṁ120 NO1y
bought Ṁ10 YES from 33% to 34% 1y
1y

Have you all never heard of a little something called "Base Rates"?

1y

@MichaelWheatley If you enjoy markets with a strong disregard for base rates you might also enjoy https://manifold.markets/BowieHill/which-of-these-people-will-be-alive-209a8d73a87a?r=VGhlb1NwZWFycw

1y

hel no. this is just ridiculous

1y

@BTE curious how this would resolve if they got married before getting engaged. Not sure if that's a thing but....

1y

@Eliza Like eloping to Vegas? I think once you commit to the Vegas trip you are engaged technically. But if it happened drunk on a whim maybe that is a NO? Interesting edge case...

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