π’β In what countries will mass public protests start in 2025?
Plus
24
αΉ1724Feb 10
92%
Serbia
85%
Romania
77%
France
69%
United States
38%
Israel
35%
South Korea
34%
Pakistan
32%
Canada
32%
India
30%
Germany
24%
Bolivia
22%
Philippines
22%
Bangladesh
22%
Iran
20%
UK
18%
Italy
8%
Russia
7%
China
Resolved monthly throughout 2025 based on updates to the Carnegie Endowment Protest Tracker:
https://carnegieendowment.org/features/global-protest-tracker?lang=en
Itβs impossible to predict exactly when the tracker will be updated, so this market may close early or be extended a few times mid month.
Resolves YES if there is a protest of >10,000 participants. NO if the country makes it to the end of 2025 with no protests that large.
Once resolved, countries canβt be re-added until the active protest is finished (too confusing otherwise). Countries only. Non-countries resolved as NA.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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