Any romantic relationships without the "girlfriend - boyfriend" label do not count. The two parties involved have to actually agree to the "girlfriend - boyfriend" label for this market to resolve.
The date of resolution is the date me and my partner actually agree to be GF-BF. It is not the date we meet each other or the date we start dating. We likely will need to date for months before agreeing to be serious partners.
Weirdly, considering I have a romantic disposition I think is rather polarizing (it takes a special kind of person to tolerate or embrace my quirkiness and absent-mindedness) I have never gone over a year without finding a new partner - hence this market to remind myself of this fact whenever I go through the inevitable "I'm ganna die alone waaaaa!" feels again.
I guess technically an attractive and savvy forecaster on this platform could find me and seduce me and do all sorts of domineering malicious things to me that only superforcaster women with lots of mana could do to a Gold rank pleb like me to force me to agree to be her boyfriend, only to leave me right after this market resolves and take all my mana with her.
Except why would anyone do such a despicable insider trading thing? Also for unrelated reasons attractive and savvy women on this platform can find me at Whisk Matcha Cafe in Vancouver (very cute cafe!) where we can discuss how to combat the pernicious problem of insider trading on this platform.
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Ok, actual info that would help make an accurate forecast:
I'm highly unlikely to say yes to being someone's boyfriend if I don't feel like it will last > 1 year for whatever reason. I have lots of experience dating ethically and casually in cases where I don't see long-term potential.
Me having a model of the person as "EA-adjacent" and/or "Rationality-adjacent" I have learnt is a requirement for me to fall in love with someone - I don't care how hot she is. If I do not see this in her I wont be able to fall in love.
Given the Great EA-Rat Girl Famine all EA-Rat men are suffering through this might make things harder for me :(
I am not spending any energy on dating apps. I just meet people at social gatherings and ask people out I find cute and interesting (has worked well enough for me in the past 2 years - I'll get on dating apps next year if this year does not pan out).
Track record:
~1.5 year relationship 2011-2013
(ok I lied, there was certainly > 1 year wait over here)~6 month 2015
~3 month 2016
~5 year relationship 2017-2022
~6 months 2022-2023
~6 months 2024
1,000
3.00@TheAllMemeingEye Yea this was a mistake when I made the market and cant find a way to fix it after the fact.
But, if you think about it, technically it is possible for me to get a girlfriend, break up, and then in the same year - during another season - get another girlfriend - which... does mean they aren't technically mutually exclusive.
Though if there was a way for me to fix it and make the options mutually exclusive that would be more in keeping with the spirit of the market. But feels like too late for that now so just keeping this as is
Weirdly, considering I have a romantic disposition I think is rather polarizing (it takes a special kind of person to tolerate or embrace my quirkiness and absent-mindedness) I have never gone over a year without finding a new partner
Me having a model of the person as "EA-adjacent" and/or "Rationality-adjacent" I have learnt is a requirement for me to fall in love with someone - I don't care how hot she is. If I do not see this in her I wont be able to fall in love.
Given the Great EA-Rat Girl Famine all EA-Rat men are suffering through this might make things harder for me :(
Did this strict requirement form before or after the several year frequent relationship streak?
@TheAllMemeingEye After.
I have become vastly more discerning and picky when it comes to serious long-term relationships.
Case in point I had a first date last week and had to turn down further dating since she was looking for something more exclusive and serious I could not offer. Incredibly charming, playful and lovely girly - we talked for hours on end and even danced under the stars. Had I met her years ago I would have sincerely wanted to date her exclusively and seriously right off the bat... but older jaded me just has particular hard requirements I cannot compromise on - and I will gladly communicate this on a first date if need be.
@CornCasting cool, thanks for clarifying 👍
If you don't mind sharing, what were the requirements she didn't meet? Was it just her not being EA/Rat?
Btw are you intending to go to any of the following this year?
Effective Altruism Global
LessOnline
Manifest
These may be particularly good opportunities to meet EA/Rat women, though that may be partly cancelled out by there being a lot of competition from other EA/Rat guys, and most of the attendees being from other parts of the world (I'm not sure whether you're ok with long distance relationships)
"I guess technically an attractive and savvy forecaster on this platform could find me and seduce me and do all sorts of domineering malicious things to me that only superforcaster women with lots of mana could do to a Gold rank pleb like me to force me to agree to be her boyfriend, only to leave me right after this market resolves and take all my mana with her."
Seems like the plot of a short story you should write.
@CornCasting If you get your AI to do your writing for you, you did not by any stretch of the imagination "beat the game"
@asmith very much depends on the game you are playing - also updated the description given I am actually interested in what good forecasters would predict