Will there be a Assassination attempt on Elon Musks life between now and the mid terms of 2026.
Plus
20
Ṁ24422026
23%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market resolves to YES if there is a credible assassination attempt on Elon Musk before the 2026 U.S. midterm elections, as reported by at least two major news outlets. A credible attempt means law enforcement confirms the threat was real and steps were taken to prevent it.
Resolution will be based on official law enforcement statements and verified news reports.
References:
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
Comment hidden
Comment hidden
Related questions
Related questions
Will there be a public assasination attempt on Elon Musk by EOY 2027
45% chance
Will Elon Musk be tried for treason before 2026?
4% chance
Will there be a credible assassination attempt on Elon Musk confirmed by law enforcement by the end of 2025?
46% chance
Will anyone attempt to assassinate Elon Musk in 2025?
25% chance
Will Elon Musk be assassinated by the end of 2030?
11% chance
Will Elon Musk be assassinated before the end of Trumps presidency?
7% chance
Elon Musk convicted of a felony before 2026
6% chance
Will Elon Musk run in the 2032 Presidential Election
6% chance
Will Elon Musk run in the 2036 Presidential Election.
5% chance
Will Elon Musk run for US presidency?