Will a PS5 cost >%10 more to US consumers as a result of tariffs before the 2026 US midterms?
Basic
6
Ṁ1212026
30%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
I'll consider ideas posted that refine the resolution criteria up until Trump is sworn in.
If >%10 of the cost of a PS5 is
composed of tariffs for American consumers at any point before the 2026 midterms commence, this market will resolve YES.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
Here's another market on PS5 prices: https://manifold.markets/UnconditionalProbability/will-a-ps5-pro-cost-1k-usd-before-t. It should be easier to calculate, and resolves at the end of 2025.
Related questions
Related questions
Will the US impose tariffs on semiconductors imported from Taiwan by the end of 2025?
40% chance
Will the average single family home price in the US be higher at the end of 2024 than it is now?
97% chance
Will the 12-month percentage change in the US Consumer Price Index be lower in Nov. 2025 than it was in Nov. 2024
57% chance
Will the US Congress pass a bill implementing Trump's tariff policies in 2025?
19% chance
Will the US impose a 10% tariff on goods from the UK before 2026?
45% chance
Will US tariffs be higher in 2025 than 2024?
92% chance
Will Trump impose any tariffs at or above 25% on imports from Mexico before the end of 2025?
55% chance
Will US tariffs go up in 2025 iff Trump wins? (Up if Trump wins, or down if not.)
92% chance
Will the US impose a 10% tariff on goods from the EU before 2026?
73% chance
Will real housing prices in the US increase more in 2025 compared to 2024?
46% chance