Who is Dwarkesh's upcoming "biggest guest yet"?
Who is Dwarkesh's upcoming "biggest guest yet"?
➕
Plus
1.1k
Ṁ2.3m
May 29
27%
Elon Musk
16%
Other
9%
Barack Obama
6%
Bill Gates
6%
Jeff Bezos
5%
Donald Trump
5%
Mr. Beast
2%
roon
2%
Jensen Huang
2%
Satya Nadella
1.9%
No one, the tweet was a joke or intended to attract advertisers without referring to someone specific
1.7%
Narendra Modi
1.5%
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
1.4%
Bill Clinton
1.2%
Gwern Branwen

https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1826340260735058400

This market is specifically on whom the above tweet is referring to, regardless of whether the interview occurs.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00


Sort by:
8d

Let's not have that happen again:

bought Ṁ1,500 Satya Nadella NO8d

Emalil to Satya was sent on Jan 25, 2025

https://x.com/citnotcitta/status/1892362691383029997

Original tweet is from Aug 21, 2024
https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1826340260735058400

9d

So is he actually going to do Macron or was that just noise?

9d

the real twitter thread

9d

bought Ṁ250 Other YES9d

Not real!

9d

@noaht2 really? I saw it on twitter

sold Ṁ3 Joe Biden YES9d

@NebulaByte if this was sent on Dec 27, 2024. Why is the market going up for this option JUST now?

9d

It’s Mark Zuckerberg again but he has a tank this time.

9d

Wait is it not Satya?

9d

@nic_kup i burned a lot of mana lol

9d

i have information that may lead to the arrest of dwarkesh podcast

16d

why no jeff dean and noam shazeer :(

bought Ṁ50 Satya Nadella YES

@typeofemale because Satya

21d

I think it's Macron

filled a Ṁ30 Other YES at 22% order21d

Oh no maybe that doesn't make sense given how he worded the tweet

https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1887882112889479331

4mo
Sarah Paine
bought Ṁ200 Sarah Paine NO1mo

a month ago he posted a tweet suggesting that the interview had not happened yet. His interviews of Paine had already occurred (though not yet released as part of the podcast).

1mo

@NicoDelon yeah he essentially said it wasn’t Sarah but some other guest TBD. Nobody should hold this. It’s ruled out.

1mo
bought Ṁ25 Narendra Modi YES1mo
1mo

@TobiasH yeah this does make sense

bought Ṁ50 Gwern Branwen YES1mo

it was gwern obv (i'm not biased no cap fr)

1mo

@LeoSpitz Are you aware of this tweet https://x.com/dwarkesh_sp/status/1872722285066662097, which was posted about a month after the release of the Gwern podcast?

1mo

@bessarabov i can't read, sorry

1mo

Here are some earlier clarifications by the creator:

(Temporarily pinning this because it is very difficult to find these comments buried so deep in this very large market, & I expect bettors will find them relevant as this question keeps coming up.)

© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules