Will the EU force messaging apps to scan encrypted messages for CSAM?
Will the EU force messaging apps to scan encrypted messages for CSAM?
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The EU has been toying with the idea of fundamentally breaking E2EE by enforcing client-side scanning of CSAM in private messages. This has been met with a lot of criticism, both from EU officials and external academics and security professionals.
Now the question is, will they do so before the end of 2025?
Resolution criteria:
If EU passes a law mandating scanning of encrypted messages for CSAM, resolves as YES.
If no such law is passed, or E2EE platforms are carved an exception, resolves as NO.
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What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
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and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
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