By when will Ariane 6 flight 2 launch?
By when will Ariane 6 flight 2 launch?
Plus
8
Ṁ5098Apr 1
72%
2025-03-31
72%
2025-06-30
94%
2025-12-31
Resolved
NO2024-11-30
Resolved
NO2024-12-31
Ariane 6 Flight 1 experienced an anomaly with its APU.
The second flight is currently scheduled for Q4 2024. When will it actually launch?
All dates listed are on or before the date in question, local time at launch site.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
bought Ṁ200 YES1mo
Launch date is NET 26th Feb
https://europeanspaceflight.com/arianespace-to-launch-second-ariane-6-rocket-on-26-february/
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
Will Ariane 6 Flight 2 be fully successful?
79% chance
By when will New Glenn flight 2 launch?
Will Artemis II launch before 2026?
2% chance
Will Ariane 7 fly before 2040?
56% chance
By when will Starliner-1 launch?
Will NASA’s Artemis 2 mission be launched successfully before January 1st, 2026?
1% chance
Will Artemis II launch before 2027?
32% chance
By when will the Exploration Upper Stage launch?
Will CNSA's Tianwen-2 mission launch before 2026?
71% chance
Will Artemis III launch before 2027?
4% chance