What percentage of US population will support further aid for Ukraine in 1 year (2 years after the war started)?
What percentage of US population will support further aid for Ukraine in 1 year (2 years after the war started)?
Basic
32
Ṁ941
Feb 21
51
expected

Current opinion is at 48% https://www.pbs.org/newshour/politics/support-for-ukraine-aid-softens-in-u-s-public-poll-says

Poll started 21 February, 3 days before 1 year anniversary of the war and the day of the Biden's speech in Warsaw

Feb 21, 7:55pm: What percentage of US population will support further aid for Ukraine in 1 year? → What percentage of US population will support further aid for Ukraine in 1 year (2 years after the war started)?

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00


Sort by:
1y

In case of radical changes to the nature of the war (e.g. direct NATO involvement or vice-versa collapse of the main frontline resulting in preponderant Russian control with resistance guerrilla in mountainous regions only, much cheaper to support) how will you resolve?

1y

How will this be resolved? Is it about weapons supply or aid in general? A PBS-published poll, any poll, an average of polls?

1y

Traditionally, Americans start out with strong support for a war that fades over time. Wars should be accomplished in about three years to retain strong support. Of course, as with Vietnam and Afghanistan, wars can be continued far after they have lost public support.

What is this?

What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana Ṁ and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash S to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
S1.00
→ $1.00
, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.
© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules