A Roblox developer will be valued at $1 Billion
A Roblox developer will be valued at $1 Billion
➕
Plus
16
Ṁ840
2028
65%
chance

This is prediction #1 in the list of predictions for the next five years by Roblox's CEO David Baszucki, made during the annual Keynote on September 9th, 2023.

Watch the keynote here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mfYz8weQm4M

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00


Sort by:
bought Ṁ100 NO

People Make Games claims: Roblox exploits young game developers by selling false hopes regarding monetization.

(Also read Ernie's response to this representation.)

9mo

@RuzgarSanli ex-roblox here. That video is mostly fake. My own opinions follow:

Thing about how Roblox might have to spend revenue: 30% apple/google tax, 22% paid out to Roblox developers as cash, leaving <50% for tax+profit+overhead of running the entire business.

What does Roblox provide?

Devs get a free full AWS: unlimited servers, bandwidth + networking, security, free s3 equivalent for game assets, key value store for game data, caching services, at no dev cost.

They get payments + credit card validations all transparently, free global updated device compatibility (all iphones+androids+ipads+playstation+xbox+PC+mac)., User discovery and auth, trust and safety (censorship), anti-botting, anti-game hacking, anti-ddos on their games, a free dev environment (Roblox Studio), Also, Roblox will distribute your game globally.

Also, Roblox will autotranslate your game, for free, to all the supported languages. Roblox will run your game for users globally, as close as possible to their location, for better ping times, for free.

Roblox maintains their own custom super fast fork of Lua. Roblox has developed a typing system for it (luau) which is awesome https://luau-lang.org/

In all, Roblox does way more for you than all those platforms do, and you can still profit.

Compare all that which Roblox gives for free, to the other guys taking a chunk of your revenue: Apple & Android taking their 30% of ALL mobile spend. They provide nearly nothing and are stealing all that dough, yet don't get hate. Roblox works their ass off to make awesome stuff, and yeah they do dumb things sometimes, but it's literally a free AWS for you to make games on if you want.

Those same kids work on steam games, or Fortnite forever and don't get half as much for free, and it's worse in nearly every way, and also nobody pays them. Path to cash on Roblox is MUCH shorter than on other platforms. So all in all I'm still a mega-fan of Roblox and what they do.

What is this?

What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana Ṁ and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash S to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
S1.00
→ $1.00
, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.
© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules