If Trump is elected in 2024, will Joe Biden be indicted before 2029?
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Resolves N/A if former president Donald J. Trump does not win the 2024 US presidential election.

Otherwise, resolves YES if Joseph R. Biden Jr. is indicted before the 2029 presidential inauguration and after the 2025 presidential inauguration, and NO if he has not been indicted.

  • Update 2025-26-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Clarification of Resolution Criteria:

    • Since Trump has been elected and the inauguration has passed, the market resolves based on whether Joe Biden is indicted before the 2029 presidential election.

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Since Trump has been elected and the inauguration has passed, this is equivalent to “Will Joe Biden be indicted before the 2029 presidential election?”

Arb:

For context, Trump has said

“I will appoint a real special prosecutor to go after the most corrupt president in the history of the United States of America, Joe Biden, and the entire Biden crime family,” the former president said in June after his arraignment in Florida. “I will totally obliterate the Deep State.”

During a recent interview with Univision, Trump took it a step further.

“If I happen to be president and I see somebody who’s doing well and beating me very badly, I say go down and indict them,” he said.

https://edition.cnn.com/2023/11/16/politics/trump-agenda-second-term/index.html

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