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Will any electric or hydrogen passenger airplane that can seat at least 100 people be in commercial use before 2033?
Will any electric or hydrogen passenger airplane that can seat at least 100 people be in commercial use before 2033?
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Hydrogen maybe but probably not because methane is so much easier to work with. Battery definitely not because the range would be too short. A typical car gets 600 miles range on a 20 gallon fuel tank that weighs 120 pounds. A long range model 3 gets 363 miles range on a 1060 pound battery. That’s 5 miles per pound of fuel vs 0.33 miles per pound of fuel. Modern airliners with a 15x reduction in fuel capacity would be unusable.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
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Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
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In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
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