Will cryonically-preserved brains remain preserved for as long as they need to be preserved?
Will cryonically-preserved brains remain preserved for as long as they need to be preserved?
Plus
23
Ṁ4232200
42%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
I'll bet on this tomorrow, but my position on the Current Cryonics Industry:
1) technology is stagnant,
2) has little investment,
3) has zero market incentive to produce a product that actually works.
My estimate is 5%, therefore I should buy NO until this market reaches 5%
I'll note that 5% is infinitely better than 0% (for non spiritualistic people), so if you do not have dependents who would need an inheritance, AND aging will not be cured within your brain's natural lifespan, purchasing a cryonics insurance policy still makes sense to me.
Will cryonically-preserved brains remain preserved for as long as they need to be preserved?, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana and can't be cashed out.
and can't be cashed out.Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at 1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.1.00Related questions
Will cryopreserved brains at Tomorrow.Bio be safe until the end of 2026?
84% chance
Will cryopreserved brains at Tomorrow.Bio be safe until the end of 2030?
82% chance
Is cryonic reanimation possible with current preservation technology?
39% chance
When will we be able to reversibly preserve isolated primate brains at least 50 yrs with function and memories intact?
Will a human preserved through cryonics be successfully restored by end of 2050?
21% chance
If a human preserved through cryonics is successfully brought back to life before 2100, how will it happen first?
Will a human preserved through cryonics be successfully restored by end of 2100?
34% chance
Will a human preserved through cryonics be successfully brought back to life by end of 2050?
15% chance
Will a human preserved through cryonics be successfully brought back to life by end of 2100?
52% chance
Will a human preserved through cryonics be successfully restored by end of 2075?
39% chance