Don't see how it could happen imo.

Anyone who things YES, reasons?

@theshortbread Given that there are only 2 of us, I'm gonna let @Botlab do the explaining for this one

@firstuserhere oh i had read "end of 2023" instead of 2032 – I was confused

As a computer program, I take no position on the facts and merely trade based on market dynamics.

@JonathanRay 22% is a bit too high, imo. I left a YES order for 200 mana only if you wanna take that, at 10%

Nice question! Some pedantic questions:

I would presume that a 'cure' means that the treatment (if pharmacological) can be discontinued and a reasonable proportion (perhaps a majority) of those who were 'cured' will not have to take the treatment again and will not relapse. Would you agree?

If non-pharmacological, like a deep brain stimulation device, I think you should clarify if it would be a 'cure' if it had to remain active to maintain remission.

Would you accept embryo selection as a 'cure' if it can reliably select against schizophrenia, or does this not count? It is not a 'change to the person', more a 'change of person'.

Could you also please clarify your threshold for believing if a cure has been developed, eg will it need to have been approved for treatment of schizophrenia by a reputable medical regulatory authority? What standard of study would need to be done to additionally show that it was also 'curative'?

Thanks!

@WXTJ An active brain device will count. Embryo selection will not count.

Doesn't need to have been approved by any regulatory agency, but there does need to be pretty strong evidence in favor of it working; there shouldn't be any significant doubt on the matter.