Hot Stove: Who will the Dodgers sign or trade for before the 2025 season?
➕
Plus
23
Ṁ22k
Feb 20
77%
Clayton Kershaw
65%
Kike Hernandez
14%
Jack Flaherty
14%
Ha-Seong Kim
10%
Nolan Arenado
10%
Seiya Suzuki
Resolved
YES
Teoscar Hernandez
Resolved
YES
Blake Treinen
Resolved
YES
Roki Sasaki
Resolved
YES
Michael Conforto
Resolved
YES
Tanner Scott

Updated resolution: I'll resolve a player as soon as they are signed or traded for according to credible media reports. I'll close all remaining players as false at the start of the first game (Kershaw yes holders, take note). Players who sign to a non-Dodgers team will resolve false. Players traded to a non Dodgers team will remain open until game 1.

Feel free to add answers. I will resolve NA any player added who is already a Dodger and who is not a free agent.

  • Update 2024-27-12 (PST): - I'll avoid making any trades on the players I'm about to resolve. (AI summary of creator comment)

  • Update 2025-05-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Ha-Seong Kim is an existing MLB player and therefore should be resolved as per the existing resolution criteria.

    • The Dodgers signed Hye-song Kim, who will be coming over from Korea for the first time this season.

Kershaw Resolution Criteria:

  • If signed before Opening Day is listed on the transaction site, even if placed on the IL, resolve as Yes.

  • If an agreement is announced well before Opening Day, resolve as Yes unless there is reason to believe the signing won't occur before Opening Day.

  • If the signing date is close to Opening Day, wait to see if the transaction date is before Opening Day.

  • Transactions occurring on Opening Day should be resolved as False.

  • Update 2025-22-01 (PST): - Updated Resolution Criteria:

    • Players will be resolved as signed or traded regardless of whether they play in the first ten games. (AI summary of creator comment)

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Wanted to clarify on Kershaw- if they agree to a contract, but he's not ready for the start of the season, how does that resolve?

@Mactuary Just spent a bit of time looking for a solid official source. Let's go with https://www.mlb.com/transactions. If he's got one of those before opening day, even if they immediately stick him on the IL, that's a yes. Otherwise, no on opening day. If they announce that they're in agreement well before opening day, I'll resolve yes on announcement unless I can find reason to think they won't sign before opening day. If it's close, I'll wait to see if the date listed on the transaction list is before opening day or not.

Transaction on opening day... I think that should be a false, but let me know if there's something in the rules that means it should be a yes. I'll make the decision based on all the other roster rules that kick in "at the start of the season" like ILs.

@JTBooth sounds reasonable to me, but I'm selling my Kershaw No shares

@Mactuary yeah makes sense. Sorry for the change in resolution - I wasn't thinking about the "sign but not play" case when I made the original "if they play in the first ten games" criteria. Lessons learned for next market.

@JTBooth nah, totally legit. Kershaw was trading at like 90%, which is probably about right for odds of retirement. I'm getting out at good odds

Santander to the blue jays

+Flaherty so we can all buy no. I've heard him as a backup if Roki goes Padres

Whoooo it's Roki Sasaki week!

I just realized I screwed up the Ha-Seong Kim resolution - Ha-seong kim is an existing mlb player. The dodgers signed Hye-song Kim, who will be coming over from Korea for the first time this season. I'm not able to UNRESOLVE. Anyone know what we can do about it?

@JTBooth unresolved

sold Ṁ678 YES

@jacksonpolack @Jesse @Mactuary holders of HSK, FYI

bought Ṁ50 NO

HSK signed! I'm buying some no on kike, sadly. Anyone else in the gossip? If the reliever isn't tanner Scott who might it me?

Added some more names based on media from after Teo

In retrospect I wish I'd designed this market to resolve immediately on a signing or trade. It would be much nicer to have top 2 and bottom 4 closed, even though they might theoretically get traded before the season starts.

@JTBooth honestly I might just make that switch, I'll give y'all a day or two to object

@JTBooth updated. I'll avoid making any trades on the guys I'm about to resolve.

Adding Ha-Seong Kim on random internet rumors

bought Ṁ50 NO

Heard a rumor and the Yankees trading Devin Williams to the Dodgers. Adding him here and buying some no

sold Ṁ155 YES

Selling my Kersh on the theory that he might just be unsigned until partway through the season, maybe after my "first term games" metric.

Come on, do something

bought Ṁ50 YES

Sasaki posted

bought Ṁ50 NO

Edman is shortstop, get this supposed superstar out of here.

Generally though I don't think I believe in star shortstops? I haven't carefully checked but it seems like the value should be way better if you do fielding specialists at hard positions and tolerable sluggers at easy positions.

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