How will American attitudes towards Israel in general change, according to polling, at the end of the Israel-Gaza war?
How will American attitudes towards Israel in general change, according to polling, at the end of the Israel-Gaza war?
➕
Plus
30
Ṁ1399
Jan 2
11%
-11 to -15%
29%
-6 to -10%
33%
-0.x% to -5%
12%
+0.x% to +5%
2.0%
+6% to 10%
1.5%
+11% to 15%
12%
More than a 15% change either way.

The Reuters Ipsos poll asked "Now thinking about the rest of the world, would you say your opinion is favorable or unfavorable towards the following countries? - Israel." The responses were 64% favorable, 17% unfavorable, and 19% dont know.

US public opinion in future polls on general opinions of Israel after the end of this war will be used to decide the winning selection. If multiple exist then, they will be averaged.

Negative means the favorable category will shrink, positive means the favorable category will grow.

https://www.ipsos.com/sites/default/files/ct/news/documents/2023-10/Reuters%20Ipsos%20Israel%20Gaza%20Hamas%20War%20Topline%2010%2016%202023_0.pdf

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00


Sort by:
11mo

Re-opening this question, since the war has not ended.

1y

you’re way off base. why on earth did you end this???

1y

Did you just end the war? Or why was this resolved?

1y
1y

how do you define the end of the war?

1y

@SharpQs When Israel says its ended.

1y

Double-checking: the answers are actually percentage points, not percent change. Correct?

1y

@NicoDelon correct

1y

Are we betting on change in the favorable number, or change in favorable minus unfavorable?

@Ernie betting on if the favorable category will shrink or grow by some percentage points, as evidenced by the + and - signs.

1y

What is this?

What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana Ṁ and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash S to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
S1.00
→ $1.00
, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.
© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules